DALCowboys
2-3
40
TBD
Levi's Stadium
68°F
10 mph
10
SF49ers
0-6
TBD
Levi's Stadium
68°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
14
6
13
7
40
49ers
3
0
0
7
10
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
501
290
Total Plays
71
65
Yards / Play
7.1
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.37
-0.18
Passing Yards
--
187
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.47
Rushing Yards
265
103
Rush Attempts
43
22
Yards / Rush
6.2
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.21
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
23
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
14
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
64%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+6.05
-11.51
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-48
Sack EPA
--
-15.66
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
36
--
Penalty EPA
-5.25
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model71.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-157
Home nfelo
1,400
Away nfelo
1,529
Home Field
+32.5
Base HFA
+57.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-44.4
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-59.9
Home QB Adjustment
-40.2
Away QB Adjustment
+19.8
Market Regression
-13.4
Final Difference
-158.9
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+19.8
C. Beathard
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-40.2
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
25
Yards / Game
14
25
Passing Yards / Game
27
4
Rushing Yards / Game
2
22
EPA
EPA / Play
10
25
EPA / Pass
19
26
EPA / Rush
1
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
10
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
30
4th Down Efficiency
11
32
RZ Efficiency
7
26
49ers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
9
Yards / Game
12
6
Passing Yards / Game
11
1
Rushing Yards / Game
20
8
EPA
EPA / Play
16
16
EPA / Pass
17
20
EPA / Rush
9
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
22
Interceptions / Game
23
25
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
10
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
29
4th Down Efficiency
19
6
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U