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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ bears week 3, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
2-0
34
TBD
Soldier Field
79°F
0
10
CHIBears
1-1
CHI logo
TBD
Soldier Field
79°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
14
11
28
Bears
3
0
7
0
10

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Bears logo
Total Yards
431
239
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
6.8
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.35
Passing Yards
300
164
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
15/33(45%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.40
-0.47
Rushing Yards
131
75
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Bears logo
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
31%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Bears logo
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.31
-20.52
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-29
-31
Sack EPA
-4.56
-2.99
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
100
28
Penalty EPA
-8.29
-3.18

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Bears Defense
Cowboys logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
3
17
Yards / Game
4
28
Passing Yards / Game
15
30
Rushing Yards / Game
17
24

EPA

EPA / Play
3
5
EPA / Pass
2
14
EPA / Rush
7
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
22
18
Fumbles / Game
1
1
Turnover EPA / Game
24
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
2
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
12
14
Bears Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Bears logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
18
13
Yards / Game
27
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
27
Rushing Yards / Game
30
7

EPA

EPA / Play
26
19
EPA / Pass
26
11
EPA / Rush
30
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
22
Interceptions / Game
28
12
Fumbles / Game
15
27
Turnover EPA / Game
15
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
14
4th Down Efficiency
18
22
RZ Efficiency
27
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

6-4
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/19
7
W
W
P
11/23
28
W
W
P
12/03
3
W
P
P
12/10
-25
L
L
P
12/16
10
W
W
P
12/25
-16
L
L
P
12/31
-8
L
L
P
01/06
-1
L
P
P
09/09
10
W
W
P
09/16
17
W
W
P
CHI logo

Bears

7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/03
10
W
W
P
12/11
15
W
W
P
12/17
3
W
L
P
12/24
5
W
L
P
12/31
-19
L
L
P
01/14
3
W
L
P
01/21
25
W
W
P
02/04
-12
L
L
P
09/09
-11
L
L
P
09/16
10
W
L
P