DALCowboys
6-1
35
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
4 mph
10
CLEBrowns
0-8
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
14
14
0
35
Browns
3
7
0
0
10
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
423
222
Total Plays
70
44
Yards / Play
6.0
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.34
-0.17
Passing Yards
--
177
Comp/Att
22/28(79%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.84
-0.04
Rushing Yards
168
45
Rush Attempts
42
13
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
13
Passing 1st downs
15
9
Rushing 1st downs
13
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
67%
11%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
12
9
Red Zone %
80%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-26
Sack EPA
--
-6.63
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
38
33
Penalty EPA
-4.62
-4.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model70.9%
Spread Pick
Browns+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-123
Home nfelo
1,363
Away nfelo
1,539
Home Field
+88.5
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
-34.9
Home QB Adjustment
-13.2
Away QB Adjustment
+21.7
Market Regression
+3.1
Final Difference
-154.7
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+21.7
C. Kessler
Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-13.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
30
Yards / Game
5
31
Passing Yards / Game
20
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
32
EPA / Pass
4
32
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
4
22
Fumbles / Game
21
32
Turnover EPA / Game
24
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
29
RZ Efficiency
6
29
Browns Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
8
Yards / Game
30
16
Passing Yards / Game
16
26
Rushing Yards / Game
18
1
EPA
EPA / Play
27
15
EPA / Pass
27
20
EPA / Rush
23
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
24
Interceptions / Game
16
26
Fumbles / Game
27
14
Turnover EPA / Game
16
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
17
4th Down Efficiency
5
23
RZ Efficiency
15
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Browns
0-10
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U