DALCowboys
7-6
31
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
3 mph
15
TBBuccaneers
4-9
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
14
14
3
0
31
Buccaneers
0
0
9
0
9
Spread
-7.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
399
192
Total Plays
69
44
Yards / Play
5.8
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.19
Passing Yards
239
134
Comp/Att
23/30(77%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.56
-0.14
Rushing Yards
160
58
Rush Attempts
37
13
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
7
Passing 1st downs
16
6
Rushing 1st downs
10
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
54%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.87
-4.59
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-16
Sack EPA
-6.72
-3.75
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
--
46
Penalty EPA
--
-4.75
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model66.3%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+7.5
Expected Value
+14.9%
Cover Probability
60.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-60
Home nfelo
1,438
Away nfelo
1,547
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-23.6
Home QB Adjustment
-13.1
Away QB Adjustment
+10.5
Market Regression
-12.9
Final Difference
-117.5
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+10.5
J. Freeman
Proj. Value
-3.2
Team Elo Adj
-13.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
32
Yards / Game
10
30
Passing Yards / Game
7
5
Rushing Yards / Game
17
32
EPA
EPA / Play
11
32
EPA / Pass
6
30
EPA / Rush
22
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
7
20
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
20
4th Down Efficiency
9
31
RZ Efficiency
19
25
Buccaneers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
15
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
14
17
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
27
17
EPA / Pass
24
18
EPA / Rush
29
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
14
Interceptions / Game
29
18
Fumbles / Game
29
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
22
4th Down Efficiency
18
8
RZ Efficiency
17
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Buccaneers
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U