DALCowboys
2-0
16
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
028
ARICardinals
0-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
7
3
3
16
Cardinals
9
12
0
7
28
Spread
+11
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
416
400
Total Plays
75
55
Yards / Play
5.5
7.3
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.30
Passing Yards
231
178
Comp/Att
25/40(63%)
17/22(77%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
8.1
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.16
Rushing Yards
185
222
Rush Attempts
33
31
Yards / Rush
5.6
7.2
EPA / Rush
+0.25
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
20
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
12
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
56%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.91
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-18
-11
Sack EPA
-2.76
-3.85
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
107
69
Penalty EPA
-13.72
-9.40
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-11.0
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market82.5%
Model77.9%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+11.0
Expected Value
+18.6%
Cover Probability
60.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-177
Home nfelo
1,414
Away nfelo
1,630
Home Field
+65.7
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.0
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
-26.5
Home QB Adjustment
-19.6
Away QB Adjustment
+7.0
Market Regression
-4.5
Final Difference
-218.6
Model Spread
+8.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+7.0
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-19.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
31
Yards / Game
4
25
Passing Yards / Game
15
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
32
EPA
EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
3
31
EPA / Rush
7
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
13
19
Fumbles / Game
4
31
Turnover EPA / Game
17
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
8
RZ Efficiency
12
23
Cardinals Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
9
Yards / Game
19
7
Passing Yards / Game
24
12
Rushing Yards / Game
3
18
EPA
EPA / Play
18
9
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
2
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
17
Interceptions / Game
15
11
Fumbles / Game
10
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
17
4th Down Efficiency
28
20
RZ Efficiency
5
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U