nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ cardinals week 16, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

DAL logo
DALCowboys
5-9
26
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
27
ARICardinals
4-10
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
10
10
6
26
Cardinals
2
7
0
6
15

Spread

ARI logo
+7

Total

OVER
45

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
382
271
Total Plays
76
47
Yards / Play
5.0
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.08
Passing Yards
199
178
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
11/25(44%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.29
-0.08
Rushing Yards
183
93
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
24
10
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
11
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
44%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
100%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
--
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-17.04
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-27
-5
Sack EPA
-6.01
-0.55
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
49
43
Penalty EPA
-1.55
-5.31

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-4.5

Win Probability

Market73.2%
Model66.7%
Spread Pick
ARI logo
Cardinals+7.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+9.2%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-76
Home nfelo
1,326
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+51.8
Home QB Adjustment
+9.6
Away QB Adjustment
-42.2
Market Regression
-8.0
Final Difference
-120.4
Model Spread
+4.5

Quarterbacks

J. Kitna headshot

J. Kitna

Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-42.2
Value
Ptile
09/21
-5.6
12
10/05
-6.2
9
10/31
-1.8
38
11/07
-5.2
17
11/14
6.5
89
11/21
7.5
92
11/25
3.9
76
12/05
1.2
56
12/12
3.0
69
12/19
4.8
81
J. Skelton headshot

J. Skelton

Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
+9.6
Value
Ptile
12/12
-5.3
16
12/19
-5.2
16

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Cowboys logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
9
30
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
21
27
Rushing Yards / Game
15
30

EPA

EPA / Play
18
14
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
8
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
2
Interceptions / Game
21
11
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
8
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
11
4th Down Efficiency
9
21
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Cardinals Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Cardinals logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
26
31
Yards / Game
31
23
Passing Yards / Game
22
19
Rushing Yards / Game
32
11

EPA

EPA / Play
31
26
EPA / Pass
31
27
EPA / Rush
25
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
22
Interceptions / Game
21
6
Fumbles / Game
22
14
Turnover EPA / Game
5
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
22
4th Down Efficiency
24
12
RZ Efficiency
29
30

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
10-0
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/17
-3
L
L
O
10/25
-6
L
L
O
10/31
-18
L
L
O
11/07
-38
L
L
O
11/14
13
W
W
O
11/21
16
W
W
O
11/25
-3
L
W
O
12/05
3
W
W
O
12/12
-3
L
W
O
12/19
3
W
L
O
ARI logo

Cardinals

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/10
10
W
W
O
10/24
-12
L
L
U
10/31
-3
L
L
O
11/07
-3
L
W
O
11/14
-18
L
L
O
11/21
-18
L
L
U
11/29
-21
L
L
U
12/05
-13
L
L
U
12/12
30
W
W
O
12/19
-7
L
L
U