DALCowboys
-
7
TBD
FedExField
66°F
2 mph
13
WASCommanders
-
TBD
FedExField
66°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
0
7
0
7
Commanders
3
1
0
3
7
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
380
250
Total Plays
71
56
Yards / Play
5.4
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.08
Passing Yards
277
161
Comp/Att
31/48(65%)
15/32(47%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.16
Rushing Yards
103
89
Rush Attempts
22
23
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
17
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
38%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.00
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-10
Sack EPA
-1.49
-2.12
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
91
42
Penalty EPA
-12.85
-3.44
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model58.8%
Spread Pick
Commanders+3.5
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-14
Home nfelo
1,513
Away nfelo
1,573
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+0.7
Home QB Adjustment
+7.6
Away QB Adjustment
+6.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-61.9
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+7.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
22
Yards / Game
8
31
Passing Yards / Game
21
31
Rushing Yards / Game
15
25
EPA
EPA / Play
18
12
EPA / Pass
15
26
EPA / Rush
8
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
5
Interceptions / Game
21
19
Fumbles / Game
13
10
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
8
4th Down Efficiency
9
29
RZ Efficiency
8
13
Commanders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
31
Yards / Game
17
23
Passing Yards / Game
4
19
Rushing Yards / Game
30
11
EPA
EPA / Play
28
26
EPA / Pass
25
27
EPA / Rush
19
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
22
Interceptions / Game
21
6
Fumbles / Game
22
14
Turnover EPA / Game
9
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
22
4th Down Efficiency
12
12
RZ Efficiency
20
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U
Commanders
2-8
SU
5-4-1
ATS
8-2
O/U