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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ commanders week 11, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
5-4
14
TBD
FedExField
44°F
7 mph
10
WASCommanders
6-3
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
44°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
7
0
7
14
Commanders
7
3
0
0
10

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
315
228
Total Plays
55
56
Yards / Play
5.7
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
136
Comp/Att
19/27(70%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.26
Rushing Yards
117
92
Rush Attempts
28
18
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
45%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.50
-4.11
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-26
Sack EPA
--
-4.41
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Commanders Defense
Cowboys logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
19
5
Yards / Game
12
5
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
20
8

EPA

EPA / Play
17
8
EPA / Pass
18
13
EPA / Rush
13
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
10
Interceptions / Game
29
18
Fumbles / Game
20
26
Turnover EPA / Game
3
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
7
4th Down Efficiency
8
26
RZ Efficiency
7
21
Commanders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Commanders logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
28
20
Yards / Game
18
7
Passing Yards / Game
13
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
13

EPA

EPA / Play
26
14
EPA / Pass
20
12
EPA / Rush
16
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
18
Interceptions / Game
1
30
Fumbles / Game
18
4
Turnover EPA / Game
28
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
5
19
RZ Efficiency
23
7

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/13
-4
L
L
P
09/07
18
W
W
P
09/15
4
W
L
P
09/21
11
W
W
P
09/28
-2
L
L
P
10/05
9
W
L
P
10/12
-6
L
L
P
10/19
-20
L
L
P
10/26
4
W
W
P
11/02
-21
L
L
P
WAS logo

Commanders

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/05
-21
L
L
P
09/04
-9
L
L
P
09/14
5
W
W
P
09/21
7
W
W
P
09/28
2
W
W
P
10/05
6
W
W
P
10/12
-2
L
L
P
10/19
3
W
L
P
10/26
8
W
W
P
11/03
-17
L
L
P