DALCowboys
12-4
6
TBD
FedExField
42°F
7 mph
26
WASCommanders
7-8
TBD
FedExField
42°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
6
0
0
6
Commanders
7
0
7
6
20
Spread
+7.5
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
182
309
Total Plays
66
63
Yards / Play
2.8
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.56
-0.21
Passing Yards
118
158
Comp/Att
14/38(37%)
11/19(58%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
8.3
EPA / Pass
-0.38
-0.39
Rushing Yards
64
151
Rush Attempts
27
41
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.64
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
16
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
22%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
14
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.66
-0.75
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-10
-11
Sack EPA
-2.15
-3.89
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
74
--
Penalty EPA
-7.73
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
+4.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model78.4%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-262
Home nfelo
1,438
Away nfelo
1,652
Home Field
+30.2
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.7
Time Adj
-7.5
Net QB Adjustment
-78.5
Home QB Adjustment
-63.3
Away QB Adjustment
+15.1
Market Regression
-332.3
Final Difference
-224.4
Model Spread
+9.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
S. Howell
Proj. Value
-2.9
Team Elo Adj
-63.3
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
8
Yards / Game
10
3
Passing Yards / Game
23
10
Rushing Yards / Game
9
11
EPA
EPA / Play
9
8
EPA / Pass
9
8
EPA / Rush
12
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
8
Interceptions / Game
30
29
Fumbles / Game
3
29
Turnover EPA / Game
20
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
1
4th Down Efficiency
5
14
RZ Efficiency
1
9
Commanders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
6
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22
EPA
EPA / Play
22
3
EPA / Pass
25
4
EPA / Rush
21
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
29
Interceptions / Game
25
10
Fumbles / Game
20
1
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
18
4th Down Efficiency
21
17
RZ Efficiency
23
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Commanders
5-4-1
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U