DALCowboys
4-1
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
026
PHIEagles
5-0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
7
7
17
Eagles
0
20
0
6
26
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
315
268
Total Plays
64
69
Yards / Play
4.9
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.06
Passing Yards
--
132
Comp/Att
18/38(47%)
15/25(60%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.13
Rushing Yards
134
136
Rush Attempts
26
40
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
40%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.26
--
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-23
Sack EPA
--
-6.14
Penalties
10
2
Penalty Yards
72
10
Penalty EPA
-10.85
-1.33
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+158
Home nfelo
1,582
Away nfelo
1,592
Home Field
+28.1
Base HFA
+39.0
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+140.6
Home QB Adjustment
+18.9
Away QB Adjustment
-121.7
Market Regression
+31.0
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-121.7
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+18.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
7
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
16
EPA
EPA / Play
9
5
EPA / Pass
9
1
EPA / Rush
12
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
15
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
3
6
Turnover EPA / Game
20
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
12
4th Down Efficiency
5
19
RZ Efficiency
1
17
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
6
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
22
EPA
EPA / Play
2
3
EPA / Pass
6
4
EPA / Rush
1
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
29
Interceptions / Game
3
10
Fumbles / Game
17
1
Turnover EPA / Game
14
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
17
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U