DALCowboys
3-3
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
13 mph
3
PHIEagles
3-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
60°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
7
7
17
Eagles
0
0
0
3
3
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
55
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
278
Total Plays
75
75
Yards / Play
4.9
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.26
Passing Yards
294
194
Comp/Att
28/47(60%)
22/49(45%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.45
Rushing Yards
74
84
Rush Attempts
26
23
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
19
Passing 1st downs
18
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
31%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.80
-11.01
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-23
-15
Sack EPA
-3.90
-3.27
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
75
33
Penalty EPA
-8.24
-6.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+7
Home nfelo
1,552
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-63.9
Home QB Adjustment
-49.7
Away QB Adjustment
+14.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.9
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+14.3
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-49.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
17
30
Passing Yards / Game
17
31
Rushing Yards / Game
25
13
EPA
EPA / Play
6
21
EPA / Pass
11
20
EPA / Rush
3
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
9
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
11
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
26
Yards / Game
2
32
Passing Yards / Game
4
25
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
25
EPA / Pass
5
24
EPA / Rush
2
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
3
16
Fumbles / Game
12
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
29
4th Down Efficiency
11
19
RZ Efficiency
13
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U