DALCowboys
3-3
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
42°F
5 mph
34
PHIEagles
2-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
42°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
0
0
7
7
Eagles
14
10
3
7
34
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
267
495
Total Plays
49
70
Yards / Play
5.4
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.34
Passing Yards
182
256
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
21/28(75%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
9.1
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.56
Rushing Yards
85
239
Rush Attempts
10
38
Yards / Rush
8.5
6.3
EPA / Rush
+0.19
+0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
31
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
15
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
30%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.70
--
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-21
-23
Sack EPA
-5.64
-5.64
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
20
33
Penalty EPA
-1.57
-1.91
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+91
Home nfelo
1,592
Away nfelo
1,575
Home Field
+62.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+11.3
Home QB Adjustment
+19.1
Away QB Adjustment
+7.8
Market Regression
-23.4
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.8
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+19.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
9
Yards / Game
10
8
Passing Yards / Game
7
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
11
12
EPA / Pass
6
10
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
7
18
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
24
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
14
RZ Efficiency
19
27
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
15
Yards / Game
5
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
17
Rushing Yards / Game
5
6
EPA
EPA / Play
8
17
EPA / Pass
15
18
EPA / Rush
3
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
14
Interceptions / Game
31
18
Fumbles / Game
21
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
22
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
16
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U