DALCowboys
7-7
9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
47°F
7 mph
17
PHIEagles
7-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
47°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
6
0
3
9
Eagles
10
0
7
0
17
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
311
431
Total Plays
62
71
Yards / Play
5.0
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.05
Passing Yards
257
313
Comp/Att
25/44(57%)
31/40(78%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.10
+0.21
Rushing Yards
54
118
Rush Attempts
16
30
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
12
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
21%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.16
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-8
-6
Sack EPA
-2.98
-1.45
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
20
--
Penalty EPA
-2.12
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-44
Home nfelo
1,513
Away nfelo
1,573
Home Field
+33.4
Base HFA
+46.5
Divisional Adj
-20.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.2
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
-16.8
Home QB Adjustment
+3.0
Away QB Adjustment
+19.8
Market Regression
-13.4
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+19.8
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+3.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
15
Yards / Game
1
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
3
14
EPA / Pass
3
20
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
16
Interceptions / Game
14
24
Fumbles / Game
4
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
5
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
16
14
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
9
Yards / Game
13
9
Passing Yards / Game
8
22
Rushing Yards / Game
11
10
EPA
EPA / Play
12
12
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
15
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
31
Interceptions / Game
5
30
Fumbles / Game
28
12
Turnover EPA / Game
19
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
3
4th Down Efficiency
30
12
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U