DALCowboys
7-8
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
62°F
10 mph
41
PHIEagles
12-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
62°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
0
0
0
7
Eagles
1
17
10
7
35
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
376
Total Plays
60
61
Yards / Play
4.5
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.33
+0.30
Passing Yards
141
--
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
13/19(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
--
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.75
Rushing Yards
127
179
Rush Attempts
30
42
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
7
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-20.82
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-2.73
--
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
69
25
Penalty EPA
-11.19
-4.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+160
Home nfelo
1,648
Away nfelo
1,497
Home Field
+42.1
Base HFA
+39.1
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
+7.0
Net QB Adjustment
-32.7
Home QB Adjustment
-88.5
Away QB Adjustment
-55.8
Market Regression
-26.9
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-55.8
K. Pickett
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-88.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
16
1
Passing Yards / Game
6
14
Rushing Yards / Game
27
4
EPA
EPA / Play
25
1
EPA / Pass
29
1
EPA / Rush
30
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
12
Interceptions / Game
21
6
Fumbles / Game
32
1
Turnover EPA / Game
5
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
8
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
31
6
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
31
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
19
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29
EPA
EPA / Play
7
27
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
4
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
19
Interceptions / Game
3
13
Fumbles / Game
8
11
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
9
4th Down Efficiency
3
27
RZ Efficiency
10
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U