DALCowboys
-
40
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
00
NYGGiants
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
4
10
7
7
28
Giants
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
171
Total Plays
55
65
Yards / Play
4.8
2.6
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.65
Passing Yards
--
63
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
--
2.1
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.92
Rushing Yards
122
108
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
8
5
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
46%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-13.24
Sacks
--
7
Sack Yards
--
-47
Sack EPA
--
-8.98
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
35
72
Penalty EPA
-4.06
-7.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model61.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-126
Home nfelo
1,467
Away nfelo
1,607
Home Field
+15.7
Base HFA
+42.4
Divisional Adj
-19.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.6
Net QB Adjustment
-0.8
Home QB Adjustment
+5.0
Away QB Adjustment
+5.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-80.1
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+5.9
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
26
Yards / Game
4
27
Passing Yards / Game
15
5
Rushing Yards / Game
15
29
EPA
EPA / Play
2
17
EPA / Pass
3
12
EPA / Rush
7
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
1
Interceptions / Game
13
3
Fumbles / Game
4
1
Turnover EPA / Game
17
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
10
4th Down Efficiency
15
20
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
9
Yards / Game
29
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
12
Rushing Yards / Game
16
18
EPA
EPA / Play
30
9
EPA / Pass
29
7
EPA / Rush
29
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
17
Interceptions / Game
15
11
Fumbles / Game
6
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
17
4th Down Efficiency
20
20
RZ Efficiency
31
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
3-6-1
SU
7-3
ATS
6-3-1
O/U