DALCowboys
1-1
23
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
016
NYGGiants
2-0
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
3
7
10
23
Giants
0
3
10
3
16
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
391
336
Total Plays
61
67
Yards / Play
6.4
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.03
Passing Yards
--
169
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
20/37(54%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.32
Rushing Yards
176
167
Rush Attempts
30
25
Yards / Rush
5.9
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.18
+0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
22
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.02
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-27
Sack EPA
--
-6.07
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
70
57
Penalty EPA
-9.02
-6.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-11
Home nfelo
1,368
Away nfelo
1,551
Home Field
+14.0
Base HFA
+37.9
Divisional Adj
-17.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-6.8
Net QB Adjustment
+157.4
Home QB Adjustment
+5.0
Away QB Adjustment
-152.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-152.4
Value
Ptile
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
22
Yards / Game
10
25
Passing Yards / Game
23
2
Rushing Yards / Game
9
28
EPA
EPA / Play
9
31
EPA / Pass
9
21
EPA / Rush
12
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
5
Interceptions / Game
30
32
Fumbles / Game
3
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
5
4th Down Efficiency
5
29
RZ Efficiency
1
10
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
6
Yards / Game
19
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22
EPA
EPA / Play
8
3
EPA / Pass
17
4
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
29
Interceptions / Game
1
10
Fumbles / Game
10
1
Turnover EPA / Game
32
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
17
RZ Efficiency
5
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
2-8
O/U