DALCowboys
1-2
20
TBD
MetLife Stadium
74°F
3 mph
15
NYGGiants
1-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
74°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
7
3
3
20
Giants
3
6
3
3
15
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
293
303
Total Plays
51
65
Yards / Play
5.7
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.02
Passing Yards
213
277
Comp/Att
22/27(81%)
29/40(73%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.41
+0.11
Rushing Yards
80
26
Rush Attempts
23
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
1.1
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
16
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
30%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-0.28
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-4
Sack EPA
-0.99
-0.98
Penalties
11
4
Penalty Yards
89
--
Penalty EPA
-2.04
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-123
Home nfelo
1,434
Away nfelo
1,568
Home Field
+17.3
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
-21.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
-5.8
Home QB Adjustment
-5.1
Away QB Adjustment
+0.7
Market Regression
-15.1
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+0.7
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-5.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
27
26
EPA
EPA / Play
25
22
EPA / Pass
29
29
EPA / Rush
30
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
10
Interceptions / Game
21
31
Fumbles / Game
32
8
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
16
RZ Efficiency
31
10
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
31
Yards / Game
30
28
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
22
29
EPA
EPA / Play
29
27
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
22
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
9
4th Down Efficiency
19
27
RZ Efficiency
32
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U