DALCowboys
4-3
37
TBD
MetLife Stadium
51°F
10 mph
18
NYGGiants
2-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
51°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
10
3
15
31
Giants
3
9
3
3
18
Spread
-6.5
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
429
271
Total Plays
65
68
Yards / Play
6.6
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.24
Passing Yards
--
171
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
26/41(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.32
Rushing Yards
172
100
Rush Attempts
30
22
Yards / Rush
5.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
36%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
33%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-8.54
-15.98
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-39
Sack EPA
--
-16.17
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
104
71
Penalty EPA
-9.52
-9.51
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model75.4%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-6.5
Expected Value
+12.3%
Cover Probability
58.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-234
Home nfelo
1,389
Away nfelo
1,565
Home Field
-20.8
Base HFA
+50.8
Divisional Adj
-22.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-39.5
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-9.1
Net QB Adjustment
-37.1
Home QB Adjustment
-18.7
Away QB Adjustment
+18.4
Market Regression
+4.3
Final Difference
-194.6
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-18.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
30
Yards / Game
1
26
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
4
20
EPA
EPA / Play
3
24
EPA / Pass
3
28
EPA / Rush
3
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
4
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
20
4th Down Efficiency
20
24
RZ Efficiency
16
17
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
9
Yards / Game
23
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
10
EPA
EPA / Play
26
12
EPA / Pass
27
10
EPA / Rush
11
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
31
Interceptions / Game
25
30
Fumbles / Game
32
12
Turnover EPA / Game
2
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
12
RZ Efficiency
17
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U