DALCowboys
1-7
33
TBD
MetLife Stadium
60°F
8 mph
20
NYGGiants
6-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
60°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
6
7
14
0
27
Giants
3
3
14
0
20
Spread
+12.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
427
480
Total Plays
50
76
Yards / Play
8.5
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.11
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
13/22(59%)
33/48(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.86
-0.04
Rushing Yards
100
107
Rush Attempts
28
28
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
25
Passing 1st downs
9
19
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
27%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
25%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.79
-21.66
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
60
69
Penalty EPA
-5.12
-7.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market84.1%
Model82.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+213
Home nfelo
1,591
Away nfelo
1,524
Home Field
+23.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+122.5
Home QB Adjustment
+16.3
Away QB Adjustment
-106.2
Market Regression
-19.5
Final Difference
265.8
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
J. Kitna
Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-106.2
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
8
7
Passing Yards / Game
21
13
Rushing Yards / Game
15
8
EPA
EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
8
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
31
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
1
4th Down Efficiency
9
21
RZ Efficiency
8
18
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
4
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
19
Rushing Yards / Game
6
11
EPA
EPA / Play
21
26
EPA / Pass
14
27
EPA / Rush
27
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
22
Interceptions / Game
31
6
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
1
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
22
4th Down Efficiency
32
12
RZ Efficiency
11
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U