nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ giants week 10, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

DAL logo
DALCowboys
1-7
33
TBD
MetLife Stadium
60°F
8 mph
20
NYGGiants
6-2
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
60°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
6
7
14
0
27
Giants
3
3
14
0
20

Spread

DAL logo
+12.5

Total

OVER
46

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
427
480
Total Plays
50
76
Yards / Play
8.5
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.11
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
13/22(59%)
33/48(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.86
-0.04
Rushing Yards
100
107
Rush Attempts
28
28
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
15
25
Passing 1st downs
9
19
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
27%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
25%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.79
-21.66
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
60
69
Penalty EPA
-5.12
-7.94

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYG logo
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-11.5

Win Probability

Market84.1%
Model82.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+215
Home nfelo
1,592
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+23.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+122.5
Home QB Adjustment
+16.3
Away QB Adjustment
-106.2
Market Regression
-16.3
Final Difference
269.0
Model Spread
-11.5

Quarterbacks

J. Kitna headshot

J. Kitna

Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-106.2
Value
Ptile
12/09
2.2
66
12/16
-1.9
36
12/23
-5.6
15
12/30
-2.6
34
09/07
2.3
68
09/14
-6.0
11
09/21
-5.6
12
10/05
-6.2
9
10/31
-1.8
38
11/07
-5.2
17
E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
Value
Ptile
12/27
-0.9
44
01/03
-5.1
20
09/12
0.9
54
09/19
-4.1
24
09/26
2.3
64
10/03
-3.4
27
10/10
3.5
72
10/17
0.9
54
10/25
4.5
79
11/07
8.1
93

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Cowboys logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
8
7
Passing Yards / Game
21
13
Rushing Yards / Game
15
8

EPA

EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
15
3
EPA / Rush
8
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
31
Interceptions / Game
21
14
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
1
4th Down Efficiency
9
21
RZ Efficiency
8
18
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Giants logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
4
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
19
Rushing Yards / Game
6
11

EPA

EPA / Play
21
26
EPA / Pass
14
27
EPA / Rush
27
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
22
Interceptions / Game
31
6
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
1
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
22
4th Down Efficiency
32
12
RZ Efficiency
11
30

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/09
20
W
W
O
01/17
-31
L
L
U
09/12
-6
L
L
U
09/19
-7
L
L
O
09/26
14
W
W
U
10/10
-7
L
L
O
10/17
-3
L
L
O
10/25
-6
L
L
O
10/31
-18
L
L
O
11/07
-38
L
L
O
NYG logo

Giants

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/27
-32
L
L
O
01/03
-37
L
L
O
09/12
13
W
W
O
09/19
-24
L
L
O
09/26
-19
L
L
U
10/03
14
W
W
U
10/10
24
W
W
U
10/17
8
W
L
O
10/25
6
W
W
O
11/07
34
W
W
O