DALCowboys
5-5
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
25°F
6 mph
21
NYGGiants
4-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
25°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
1
7
7
3
18
Giants
0
6
7
8
21
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
311
358
Total Plays
62
63
Yards / Play
5.0
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.01
Passing Yards
204
154
Comp/Att
23/38(61%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.45
Rushing Yards
107
204
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
5.3
6.6
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
36%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.08
-9.51
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-30
-20
Sack EPA
-5.70
-3.46
Penalties
11
11
Penalty Yards
85
81
Penalty EPA
-7.25
-8.86
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
+1.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model45.9%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+2.5
Expected Value
+4.4%
Cover Probability
54.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-93
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,519
Home Field
-25.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-20.4
Home QB Adjustment
-25.1
Away QB Adjustment
-4.7
Market Regression
+16.2
Final Difference
-28.7
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.7
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-25.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
17
Yards / Game
17
8
Passing Yards / Game
17
2
Rushing Yards / Game
25
12
EPA
EPA / Play
6
7
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
3
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
20
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
13
5
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
22
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
29
32
Passing Yards / Game
13
25
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
32
25
EPA / Pass
28
24
EPA / Rush
32
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
32
16
Fumbles / Game
31
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
29
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
30
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U