DALCowboys
8-3
24
TBD
Giants Stadium
37°F
8 mph
31
NYGGiants
6-5
TBD
Giants Stadium
37°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
10
7
7
24
Giants
0
14
7
4
25
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
424
337
Total Plays
80
49
Yards / Play
5.3
6.9
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.07
Passing Yards
379
237
Comp/Att
41/55(75%)
11/25(44%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
9.5
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.19
Rushing Yards
45
100
Rush Attempts
23
23
Yards / Rush
2.0
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
15
Passing 1st downs
23
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
53%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
10
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.68
-9.30
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-13
-4
Sack EPA
-2.82
-1.26
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
30
10
Penalty EPA
-4.05
-0.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model52.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+7
Home nfelo
1,590
Away nfelo
1,607
Home Field
+23.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+0.7
Home QB Adjustment
+8.1
Away QB Adjustment
+7.4
Market Regression
-16.0
Final Difference
-16.0
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+8.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
30
Yards / Game
2
13
Passing Yards / Game
2
13
Rushing Yards / Game
6
13
EPA
EPA / Play
10
30
EPA / Pass
7
23
EPA / Rush
9
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
20
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
12
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
31
27
RZ Efficiency
17
32
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
3
Yards / Game
9
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
4
EPA
EPA / Play
8
8
EPA / Pass
8
17
EPA / Rush
16
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
13
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
30
5
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
3
4th Down Efficiency
9
8
RZ Efficiency
20
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U