DALCowboys
9-6
36
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
2 mph
35
NYGGiants
5-10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
14
7
15
36
Giants
0
7
11
17
35
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
421
443
Total Plays
70
68
Yards / Play
6.0
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.17
Passing Yards
368
300
Comp/Att
27/44(61%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.45
+0.10
Rushing Yards
51
143
Rush Attempts
22
25
Yards / Rush
2.3
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.22
+0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
18
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
65%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
11
7
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
75%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.49
-10.34
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-19
-3
Sack EPA
-4.96
-5.25
Penalties
6
11
Penalty Yards
46
78
Penalty EPA
-1.96
-9.45
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model63.3%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+7.0
Expected Value
+15.6%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-46
Home nfelo
1,438
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+42.1
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-3.1
Home QB Adjustment
+1.9
Away QB Adjustment
+5.0
Market Regression
+29.5
Final Difference
94.5
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
23
Yards / Game
22
24
Passing Yards / Game
15
18
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21
EPA
EPA / Play
19
28
EPA / Pass
17
26
EPA / Rush
7
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
10
Interceptions / Game
4
7
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
32
RZ Efficiency
26
13
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
16
8
Passing Yards / Game
8
16
Rushing Yards / Game
24
8
EPA
EPA / Play
13
12
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
11
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
7
Interceptions / Game
14
27
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
22
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
10
16
RZ Efficiency
29
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U