DALCowboys
1-1
34
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
031
LARRams
1-1
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
10
10
8
28
Rams
7
8
0
10
25
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
340
448
Total Plays
52
72
Yards / Play
6.5
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.03
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
18/23(78%)
30/42(71%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.24
Rushing Yards
123
121
Rush Attempts
29
30
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
26
Passing 1st downs
10
18
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
50%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-10.77
-12.78
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
15
119
Penalty EPA
-1.62
-9.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model54.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-15
Home nfelo
1,502
Away nfelo
1,487
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-92.6
Home QB Adjustment
-103.4
Away QB Adjustment
-10.8
Market Regression
-16.8
Final Difference
-32.8
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-10.8
A. Davis
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-103.4
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
16
Yards / Game
9
18
Passing Yards / Game
15
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
14
EPA
EPA / Play
2
6
EPA / Pass
1
12
EPA / Rush
8
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
8
Interceptions / Game
3
19
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
22
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
15
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
15
Yards / Game
27
21
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
20
8
EPA
EPA / Play
28
21
EPA / Pass
28
19
EPA / Rush
29
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
18
Interceptions / Game
19
12
Fumbles / Game
22
2
Turnover EPA / Game
2
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
18
RZ Efficiency
22
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U