DALCowboys
3-1
22
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
010
LARRams
2-2
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
7
3
3
16
Rams
3
7
0
0
10
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
239
323
Total Plays
54
64
Yards / Play
4.4
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.45
Passing Yards
76
285
Comp/Att
10/16(63%)
29/44(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.42
-0.28
Rushing Yards
163
38
Rush Attempts
35
15
Yards / Rush
4.7
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
14
Passing 1st downs
4
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
33%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.94
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-26
-35
Sack EPA
-5.20
-15.79
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
42
25
Penalty EPA
-6.52
-3.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+140
Home nfelo
1,554
Away nfelo
1,569
Home Field
+45.6
Base HFA
+38.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+6.9
Net QB Adjustment
+108.6
Home QB Adjustment
-15.7
Away QB Adjustment
-124.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-124.3
Value
Ptile
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-15.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
20
Yards / Game
10
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
9
13
EPA
EPA / Play
9
19
EPA / Pass
9
26
EPA / Rush
12
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
3
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
3
30
Turnover EPA / Game
20
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
21
4th Down Efficiency
5
31
RZ Efficiency
1
1
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
6
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
26
15
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
27
3
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
19
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
29
Interceptions / Game
22
10
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
18
4th Down Efficiency
1
17
RZ Efficiency
14
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Rams
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U