DALCowboys
11-6
22
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
57°F
1 mph
30
LARRams
13-3
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
57°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
0
8
7
22
Rams
3
17
3
7
30
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
459
Total Plays
55
76
Yards / Play
5.6
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.24
Passing Yards
258
--
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
15/28(54%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.10
Rushing Yards
50
273
Rush Attempts
22
48
Yards / Rush
2.3
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
30
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
17
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
10%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-1.89
--
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
26
41
Penalty EPA
-3.48
-9.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model78.9%
Spread Pick
Rams-7.0
Expected Value
+16.3%
Cover Probability
57.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+276
Home nfelo
1,662
Away nfelo
1,520
Home Field
+115.4
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.6
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
+20.7
Net QB Adjustment
-6.4
Home QB Adjustment
+7.6
Away QB Adjustment
+14.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
229.2
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+14.0
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+7.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
18
Yards / Game
22
20
Passing Yards / Game
15
15
Rushing Yards / Game
10
17
EPA
EPA / Play
19
17
EPA / Pass
17
10
EPA / Rush
7
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
4
5
Fumbles / Game
13
6
Turnover EPA / Game
25
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
21
RZ Efficiency
26
15
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
7
Yards / Game
3
8
Passing Yards / Game
9
16
Rushing Yards / Game
3
8
EPA
EPA / Play
3
12
EPA / Pass
5
19
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
7
Interceptions / Game
12
27
Fumbles / Game
6
12
Turnover EPA / Game
28
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
24
4th Down Efficiency
19
16
RZ Efficiency
19
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U