DALCowboys
4-1
30
TBD
Lumen Field
60°F
6 mph
23
SEASeahawks
3-1
TBD
Lumen Field
60°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
10
3
10
30
Seahawks
4
0
10
3
17
Spread
+9.5
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
401
206
Total Plays
69
48
Yards / Play
5.8
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.01
Passing Yards
239
126
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
14/28(50%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.41
-0.25
Rushing Yards
162
80
Rush Attempts
36
18
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
9
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
59%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.89
+4.66
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-2.15
-2.11
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
46
58
Penalty EPA
-0.49
-8.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+246
Home nfelo
1,668
Away nfelo
1,505
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+9.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.4
Away QB Adjustment
+8.9
Market Regression
+8.9
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.9
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
1
Yards / Game
9
1
Passing Yards / Game
15
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
4
EPA
EPA / Play
2
4
EPA / Pass
1
4
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
12
Interceptions / Game
3
13
Fumbles / Game
27
15
Turnover EPA / Game
22
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
8
21
Passing Yards / Game
13
18
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8
EPA
EPA / Play
8
21
EPA / Pass
10
19
EPA / Rush
1
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
18
Interceptions / Game
5
12
Fumbles / Game
9
2
Turnover EPA / Game
31
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
29
4th Down Efficiency
29
18
RZ Efficiency
19
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U