nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. dolphins @ bills week 13, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

MIA logo
MIADolphins
7-4
21
TBD
New Era Field
25°F
15 mph
38
BUFBills
5-6
BUF logo
TBD
New Era Field
25°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
14
0
7
0
21
Bills
3
14
14
7
38

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Bills logo
Total Yards
300
431
Total Plays
56
68
Yards / Play
5.4
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.18
Passing Yards
30
270
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
1.5
10.0
EPA / Pass
-0.74
+0.44
Rushing Yards
270
161
Rush Attempts
34
37
Yards / Rush
7.9
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.29
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Bills logo
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
4
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
36%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Bills logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.87
--
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-25
-36
Sack EPA
-4.30
-8.33
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
38
56
Penalty EPA
-3.23
-5.71

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Dolphins logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
13
27
Yards / Game
15
14
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29

EPA

EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
16
17
EPA / Rush
9
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
27
24
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
9
4th Down Efficiency
31
11
RZ Efficiency
2
32
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Bills logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
12
4
Yards / Game
9
3
Passing Yards / Game
1
5
Rushing Yards / Game
23
5

EPA

EPA / Play
11
9
EPA / Pass
7
4
EPA / Rush
22
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
26
Interceptions / Game
12
5
Fumbles / Game
21
30
Turnover EPA / Game
5
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
4
4th Down Efficiency
11
1
RZ Efficiency
15
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
8
W
W
P
09/22
27
W
W
P
09/29
-18
L
L
P
10/06
13
W
W
P
10/13
2
W
W
P
10/20
-13
L
L
P
11/04
-14
L
L
P
11/10
-3
L
L
P
11/17
19
W
W
P
11/24
27
W
W
P
BUF logo

Bills

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
6
W
W
P
09/22
-5
L
W
P
09/29
6
W
W
P
10/06
-18
L
L
P
10/13
7
W
P
P
10/20
13
W
W
P
10/27
7
W
L
P
11/03
-31
L
L
P
11/17
-1
L
W
P
11/24
-18
L
L
P