MIADolphins
8-6
20
TBD
New Era Field
35°F
20 mph
3
BUFBills
6-8
TBD
New Era Field
35°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
10
3
1
0
14
Bills
0
0
3
0
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
169
177
Total Plays
57
62
Yards / Play
3.0
2.9
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.55
Passing Yards
37
104
Comp/Att
8/17(47%)
15/28(54%)
Yards / Pass
2.2
3.7
EPA / Pass
-0.69
-0.87
Rushing Yards
132
73
Rush Attempts
38
28
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
11
Passing 1st downs
2
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-0.21
-19.43
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-9
-51
Sack EPA
-5.00
-12.77
Penalties
12
7
Penalty Yards
106
59
Penalty EPA
-8.50
-4.13
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
24
2
Passing Yards / Game
12
10
Rushing Yards / Game
17
7
EPA
EPA / Play
21
8
EPA / Pass
22
7
EPA / Rush
20
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
1
Interceptions / Game
21
30
Fumbles / Game
28
25
Turnover EPA / Game
7
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
16
4th Down Efficiency
16
21
RZ Efficiency
15
17
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
2
Yards / Game
30
8
Passing Yards / Game
22
22
Rushing Yards / Game
22
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
3
EPA / Pass
27
6
EPA / Rush
21
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
15
7
Fumbles / Game
28
8
Turnover EPA / Game
4
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
11
4th Down Efficiency
15
1
RZ Efficiency
20
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U