MIADolphins
3-4
26
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
77°F
11 mph
17
DENBroncos
4-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
77°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
3
0
10
20
Broncos
7
0
3
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
319
Total Plays
72
59
Yards / Play
4.7
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.12
Passing Yards
266
305
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
24/46(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.15
Rushing Yards
75
14
Rush Attempts
29
12
Yards / Rush
2.6
1.2
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
14
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
--
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
29%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.67
-11.22
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-15
-2
Sack EPA
-4.19
-1.67
Penalties
2
10
Penalty Yards
42
81
Penalty EPA
-3.87
-6.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
30
Yards / Game
14
29
Passing Yards / Game
8
21
Rushing Yards / Game
15
27
EPA
EPA / Play
11
32
EPA / Pass
6
31
EPA / Rush
20
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
32
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
26
4th Down Efficiency
5
18
RZ Efficiency
9
27
Broncos Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
10
Yards / Game
2
14
Passing Yards / Game
25
27
Rushing Yards / Game
11
12
EPA
EPA / Play
5
24
EPA / Pass
4
14
EPA / Rush
5
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
24
Interceptions / Game
24
10
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
10
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
27
21
RZ Efficiency
16
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U