MIADolphins
2-10
17
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
37°F
8 mph
20
DENBroncos
7-5
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
37°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
7
3
0
17
Broncos
0
14
3
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
214
415
Total Plays
61
70
Yards / Play
3.5
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.04
Passing Yards
144
--
Comp/Att
17/35(49%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.18
-0.15
Rushing Yards
70
196
Rush Attempts
22
40
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
24
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
33%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.12
-12.96
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-26
--
Sack EPA
-5.70
--
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
40
43
Penalty EPA
-2.87
-5.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
13
Yards / Game
29
5
Passing Yards / Game
16
23
Rushing Yards / Game
31
4
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
31
13
EPA / Rush
28
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
30
Interceptions / Game
32
28
Fumbles / Game
23
28
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
6
4th Down Efficiency
14
7
RZ Efficiency
24
16
Broncos Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
4
7
Passing Yards / Game
31
3
Rushing Yards / Game
5
30
EPA
EPA / Play
8
7
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
11
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
3
Interceptions / Game
24
19
Fumbles / Game
3
10
Turnover EPA / Game
13
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
4
4th Down Efficiency
11
29
RZ Efficiency
29
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U