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  1. nfelo...
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  3. dolphins @ jets week 3, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIA logo
MIADolphins
0-2
28
TBD
Giants Stadium
72°F
8 mph
31
NYJJets
0-2
NYJ logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
72°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
13
0
15
28
Jets
7
14
3
7
31

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
426
256
Total Plays
61
61
Yards / Play
7.0
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.37
+0.36
Passing Yards
312
115
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
15/22(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.35
+0.23
Rushing Yards
114
141
Rush Attempts
24
38
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.36
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
28
22
Passing 1st downs
17
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
33%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
13
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.12
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-9
Sack EPA
-2.63
-1.84
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
56
26
Penalty EPA
-8.00
-2.47

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Jets Defense
Dolphins logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
26
19
Yards / Game
28
18
Passing Yards / Game
13
5
Rushing Yards / Game
22
29

EPA

EPA / Play
19
30
EPA / Pass
24
24
EPA / Rush
8
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
3
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
24
32
Turnover EPA / Game
16
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
24
4th Down Efficiency
9
32
RZ Efficiency
17
26
Jets Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Jets logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
25
30
Yards / Game
26
23
Passing Yards / Game
11
8
Rushing Yards / Game
18
32

EPA

EPA / Play
18
32
EPA / Pass
25
32
EPA / Rush
14
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
11
Interceptions / Game
23
24
Fumbles / Game
2
31
Turnover EPA / Game
18
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
32
4th Down Efficiency
14
27
RZ Efficiency
31
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
3
W
W
P
11/19
4
W
W
P
11/23
17
W
W
P
12/03
-14
L
L
P
12/10
21
W
W
P
12/17
-21
L
L
P
12/25
-3
L
L
P
12/31
-5
L
W
P
09/09
-3
L
P
P
09/16
-17
L
L
P
NYJ logo

Jets

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/19
-10
L
L
P
11/26
15
W
W
P
12/03
28
W
W
P
12/10
-18
L
L
P
12/17
13
W
W
P
12/25
3
W
W
P
12/31
20
W
W
P
01/07
-21
L
L
P
09/09
-24
L
L
P
09/16
-7
L
W
P