MIADolphins
0-2
38
TBD
Gillette Stadium
72°F
1 mph
13
NEPatriots
2-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
72°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
14
7
10
38
Patriots
0
6
7
0
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
461
216
Total Plays
57
59
Yards / Play
8.1
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.46
-0.04
Passing Yards
--
137
Comp/Att
18/21(86%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.90
-0.27
Rushing Yards
216
79
Rush Attempts
36
20
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
14
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
44%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.43
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-19
Sack EPA
--
-3.45
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-3.91
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
8
Yards / Game
14
10
Passing Yards / Game
8
12
Rushing Yards / Game
15
16
EPA
EPA / Play
11
20
EPA / Pass
6
27
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
5
Interceptions / Game
3
15
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
30
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
27
4th Down Efficiency
5
2
RZ Efficiency
9
32
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
10
Yards / Game
5
14
Passing Yards / Game
4
27
Rushing Yards / Game
5
12
EPA
EPA / Play
2
24
EPA / Pass
9
14
EPA / Rush
1
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
24
Interceptions / Game
4
10
Fumbles / Game
12
14
Turnover EPA / Game
24
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
12
4th Down Efficiency
2
21
RZ Efficiency
18
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U