MIADolphins
0-4
10
TBD
Gillette Stadium
64°F
8 mph
24
NEPatriots
3-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
64°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
7
3
0
10
Patriots
7
10
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
295
204
Total Plays
72
58
Yards / Play
4.1
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.03
Passing Yards
228
69
Comp/Att
21/43(49%)
7/19(37%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.05
Rushing Yards
67
135
Rush Attempts
26
38
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.37
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
37%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
19
14
Red Zone %
20%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.20
-2.89
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-29
-7
Sack EPA
-5.77
-1.23
Penalties
12
7
Penalty Yards
86
55
Penalty EPA
-11.44
-8.51
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
29
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
5
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
28
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
32
3
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
22
4th Down Efficiency
14
14
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
9
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
5
7
EPA / Rush
10
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
3
Interceptions / Game
6
19
Fumbles / Game
20
10
Turnover EPA / Game
28
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
4
4th Down Efficiency
21
29
RZ Efficiency
7
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U