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  1. nfelo...
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  3. dolphins @ patriots week 6, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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MIA logo
MIADolphins
3-1
31
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
72°F
5 mph
30
NEPatriots
4-1
NE logo
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
72°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
3
16
0
12
31
Patriots
2
10
3
3
18

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Patriots logo
Total Yards
317
259
Total Plays
87
52
Yards / Play
3.6
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.18
Passing Yards
195
213
Comp/Att
25/46(54%)
17/36(47%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.26
-0.21
Rushing Yards
122
46
Rush Attempts
32
14
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Patriots logo
1st Downs
22
14
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
21
11
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Patriots logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-14.01
-7.26
Sacks
9
2
Sack Yards
-53
-12
Sack EPA
-10.96
-3.21
Penalties
13
6
Penalty Yards
99
45
Penalty EPA
-8.21
-3.48

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Dolphins logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
18
5
Yards / Game
23
7
Passing Yards / Game
26
3
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20

EPA

EPA / Play
25
8
EPA / Pass
26
13
EPA / Rush
25
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
3
Interceptions / Game
25
18
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
15
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
22
15
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Patriots logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
20
24
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
4
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
13

EPA

EPA / Play
22
10
EPA / Pass
20
9
EPA / Rush
24
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
17
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
13
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
3
4th Down Efficiency
25
24
RZ Efficiency
27
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

3-1
SU
2-2
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/13
17
W
W
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
10/04
-5
L
L
P
10/10
3
W
W
P
NE logo

Patriots

4-1
SU
2-2-1
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
2
W
W
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
09/26
2
W
L
P
10/03
12
W
P
P
10/10
-2
L
W
P