MIADolphins
9-4
13
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
36°F
14 mph
20
NEPatriots
9-5
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
36°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
3
0
10
13
Patriots
0
20
0
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
313
Total Plays
58
67
Yards / Play
6.3
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.11
Passing Yards
310
117
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
12/20(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.08
Rushing Yards
58
196
Rush Attempts
19
44
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.38
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
14
5
Rushing 1st downs
1
12
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
27%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
20%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-7.91
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-14
Sack EPA
-2.22
-3.73
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
67
75
Penalty EPA
-7.56
-9.61
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
5
Yards / Game
25
23
Passing Yards / Game
26
30
Rushing Yards / Game
25
17
EPA
EPA / Play
13
7
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
13
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
9
Interceptions / Game
17
7
Fumbles / Game
31
11
Turnover EPA / Game
7
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
11
4th Down Efficiency
6
8
RZ Efficiency
13
4
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
10
Yards / Game
20
6
Passing Yards / Game
19
5
Rushing Yards / Game
17
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
12
EPA / Pass
10
12
EPA / Rush
21
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
24
Interceptions / Game
6
17
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
22
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
14
4th Down Efficiency
20
13
RZ Efficiency
15
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U