MIADolphins
1-13
7
TBD
Gillette Stadium
43°F
7 mph
28
NEPatriots
14-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
43°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
0
7
0
7
Patriots
7
21
0
0
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
400
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
3.4
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.17
Passing Yards
133
204
Comp/Att
18/41(44%)
18/33(55%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.43
+0.06
Rushing Yards
108
196
Rush Attempts
22
25
Yards / Rush
4.9
7.8
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+4.20
-9.48
Sacks
7
3
Sack Yards
-38
-11
Sack EPA
-10.15
-5.93
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
32
18
Penalty EPA
-3.11
-1.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
1
Yards / Game
28
5
Passing Yards / Game
13
21
Rushing Yards / Game
22
9
EPA
EPA / Play
19
12
EPA / Pass
24
3
EPA / Rush
8
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
24
Interceptions / Game
13
6
Fumbles / Game
24
17
Turnover EPA / Game
16
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
17
20
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
30
Yards / Game
1
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
8
Rushing Yards / Game
11
32
EPA
EPA / Play
1
32
EPA / Pass
1
32
EPA / Rush
2
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
11
Interceptions / Game
3
24
Fumbles / Game
3
31
Turnover EPA / Game
32
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
32
4th Down Efficiency
4
27
RZ Efficiency
2
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U