MIADolphins
9-5
27
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
31°F
10 mph
24
NEPatriots
5-10
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
31°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
3
14
0
10
27
Patriots
7
14
3
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
348
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
4.4
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.00
Passing Yards
263
311
Comp/Att
31/46(67%)
18/35(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.13
Rushing Yards
47
37
Rush Attempts
24
21
Yards / Rush
2.0
1.8
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
18
Passing 1st downs
16
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
47%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
10
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.31
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-8
-1
Sack EPA
-2.35
-0.71
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
25
58
Penalty EPA
-2.12
-5.40
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
17
Yards / Game
23
19
Passing Yards / Game
24
15
Rushing Yards / Game
13
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
18
EPA / Pass
16
24
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
8
Interceptions / Game
24
29
Fumbles / Game
8
16
Turnover EPA / Game
17
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
28
4th Down Efficiency
12
31
RZ Efficiency
6
18
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
5
Yards / Game
21
6
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
26
16
EPA
EPA / Play
20
4
EPA / Pass
18
6
EPA / Rush
27
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
10
2
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
21
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
5
4th Down Efficiency
12
14
RZ Efficiency
24
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U