MIA logo
MIA
-
NE
-
NE logo
TBD
Gillette Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIAFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Patriots Defense
Dolphins logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
26
5
Yards / Game
24
8
Passing Yards / Game
28
27
Rushing Yards / Game
21
1

EPA

EPA / Play
16
8
EPA / Pass
19
14
EPA / Rush
17
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
6
Interceptions / Game
30
16
Fumbles / Game
16
16
Turnover EPA / Game
15
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
11
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
21
31
Patriots Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Patriots logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
7
21
Yards / Game
9
23
Passing Yards / Game
1
28
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28

EPA

EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
28
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
19
Interceptions / Game
9
30
Fumbles / Game
26
4
Turnover EPA / Game
14
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
17
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-6
L
L
O
09/18
-10
L
W
O
09/29
6
W
W
O
10/05
-3
L
L
O
10/12
-2
L
W
O
10/19
-25
L
L
O
10/26
24
W
W
U
10/30
-22
L
L
U
11/09
17
W
W
U
11/16
3
W
W
U
NE logo

Patriots

9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
6
W
W
O
09/21
-7
L
L
U
09/28
29
W
W
O
10/05
3
W
W
U
10/12
6
W
W
U
10/19
18
W
W
O
10/26
19
W
W
O
11/02
1
W
L
O
11/09
5
W
W
O
11/13
13
W
W
U