MIA logo
MIA
5-4
14
10
LAR
4-5
LAR logo
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
63°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
0
0
14
14
Rams
7
0
3
0
10

Spread

MIA logo
-1

Total

UNDER
39

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
240
227
Total Plays
57
60
Yards / Play
4.2
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.23
Passing Yards
142
125
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.41
Rushing Yards
98
102
Rush Attempts
19
28
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
9%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
1
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
100%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.52
-4.19
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-30
-9
Sack EPA
-6.04
-1.80
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
82
70
Penalty EPA
-5.97
-7.38

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIAFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
+3.0

Win Probability

Market52.3%
Model42.3%
Spread Pick
LAR logo
Rams+1.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+17.8%
Cover Probability
61.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+113
Home nfelo
1,496
Away nfelo
1,478
Home Field
+67.4
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+28.8
Home QB Adjustment
+27.9
Away QB Adjustment
-0.8
Market Regression
-9.0
Final Difference
54.0
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

J. Goff headshot

J. Goff

Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+27.9
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Rams Defense
Dolphins logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
25
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
13
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16

EPA

EPA / Play
21
17
EPA / Pass
18
18
EPA / Rush
19
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
2
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
11
20
Turnover EPA / Game
13
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
10
4th Down Efficiency
32
32
RZ Efficiency
14
31
Rams Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Rams logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
32
19
Yards / Game
32
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
31
31

EPA

EPA / Play
32
19
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
31
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
21
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
16
11
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
20
RZ Efficiency
24
22