MIADolphins
5-4
14
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
63°F
3 mph
10
LARRams
4-5
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
63°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
0
0
14
14
Rams
7
0
3
0
10
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
240
227
Total Plays
57
60
Yards / Play
4.2
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.23
Passing Yards
142
125
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.41
Rushing Yards
98
102
Rush Attempts
19
28
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
12
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
9%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
1
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
100%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.52
-4.19
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-30
-9
Sack EPA
-6.04
-1.80
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
82
70
Penalty EPA
-5.97
-7.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
+3.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model42.0%
Spread Pick
Rams+1.0
Expected Value
+17.8%
Cover Probability
61.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+117
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,474
Home Field
+68.3
Base HFA
+58.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
+28.8
Home QB Adjustment
+27.9
Away QB Adjustment
-0.8
Market Regression
-9.1
Final Difference
56.1
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
+27.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
22
Yards / Game
25
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
13
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16
EPA
EPA / Play
21
17
EPA / Pass
18
18
EPA / Rush
19
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
2
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
11
20
Turnover EPA / Game
13
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
10
4th Down Efficiency
32
32
RZ Efficiency
14
31
Rams Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
19
Yards / Game
32
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
31
31
EPA
EPA / Play
32
19
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
31
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
21
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
16
11
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
20
RZ Efficiency
24
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U