PHIEagles
0-2
25
TBD
Levi's Stadium
84°F
12 mph
20
SF49ers
2-1
TBD
Levi's Stadium
84°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
8
0
3
8
19
49ers
7
0
7
6
20
Spread
+8
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
269
417
Total Plays
60
71
Yards / Play
4.5
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.09
Passing Yards
176
301
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
32/46(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.21
Rushing Yards
93
116
Rush Attempts
28
20
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
9
20
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
31%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.28
-17.38
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-19
-37
Sack EPA
-4.26
-10.78
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
25
42
Penalty EPA
-3.78
-6.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-8.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model71.3%
Spread Pick
Eagles+8.0
Expected Value
+14.2%
Cover Probability
57.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+71
Home nfelo
1,592
Away nfelo
1,488
Home Field
+9.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-42.5
Home QB Adjustment
-53.4
Away QB Adjustment
-10.9
Market Regression
+49.8
Final Difference
158.0
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-10.9
N. Mullens
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-53.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
17
Yards / Game
25
4
Passing Yards / Game
23
12
Rushing Yards / Game
10
8
EPA
EPA / Play
29
11
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
14
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
12
Interceptions / Game
31
16
Fumbles / Game
23
6
Turnover EPA / Game
5
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
3
4th Down Efficiency
26
25
RZ Efficiency
13
9
49ers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
14
17
Passing Yards / Game
13
29
Rushing Yards / Game
15
22
EPA
EPA / Play
21
12
EPA / Pass
16
15
EPA / Rush
22
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
1
Interceptions / Game
30
29
Fumbles / Game
27
6
Turnover EPA / Game
2
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
8
4th Down Efficiency
28
3
RZ Efficiency
7
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-5-1
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-3-1
O/U