PHIEagles
1-0
29
TBD
Soldier Field
84°F
5 mph
14
CHIBears
0-1
TBD
Soldier Field
84°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
6
13
7
29
Bears
0
7
0
1
8
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
280
284
Total Plays
68
50
Yards / Play
4.1
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.49
Passing Yards
180
220
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
21/29(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.44
Rushing Yards
100
64
Rush Attempts
32
18
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
20%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-18.28
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-15
Sack EPA
-2.67
-8.29
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
34
60
Penalty EPA
-4.71
-7.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model56.0%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+5
Home nfelo
1,437
Away nfelo
1,499
Home Field
+68.2
Base HFA
+57.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-0.9
Home QB Adjustment
-6.3
Away QB Adjustment
-5.4
Market Regression
+7.4
Final Difference
42.3
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-5.4
Value
Ptile
J. Cutler
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-6.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
20
14
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
9
26
EPA
EPA / Play
16
26
EPA / Pass
20
24
EPA / Rush
13
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
25
Interceptions / Game
16
29
Fumbles / Game
7
30
Turnover EPA / Game
23
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
22
4th Down Efficiency
18
28
RZ Efficiency
25
10
Bears Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
11
Yards / Game
14
12
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
16
15
EPA
EPA / Play
26
10
EPA / Pass
22
5
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
19
Interceptions / Game
28
8
Fumbles / Game
25
17
Turnover EPA / Game
4
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
19
4th Down Efficiency
31
11
RZ Efficiency
22
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U