PHIEagles
5-4
24
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
5 mph
20
CHIBears
4-5
TBD
Soldier Field
47°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
10
0
7
7
24
Bears
0
9
11
0
20
Spread
4
P
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
377
286
Total Plays
66
65
Yards / Play
5.7
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.10
Passing Yards
220
160
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
24/44(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.26
Rushing Yards
157
126
Rush Attempts
30
20
Yards / Rush
5.2
6.3
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
47%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-11.79
-1.63
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-24
-13
Sack EPA
-6.04
-2.47
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
46
64
Penalty EPA
-6.70
-6.72
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
Bears+4.0
Expected Value
+10.2%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-17
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,597
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+5.8
Home QB Adjustment
+1.5
Away QB Adjustment
-4.3
Market Regression
-49.2
Final Difference
-65.2
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-4.3
J. Cutler
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
21
Yards / Game
11
17
Passing Yards / Game
5
19
Rushing Yards / Game
24
24
EPA
EPA / Play
14
18
EPA / Pass
12
20
EPA / Rush
10
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
14
Interceptions / Game
8
22
Fumbles / Game
27
3
Turnover EPA / Game
23
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
27
4th Down Efficiency
28
11
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Bears Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
19
Yards / Game
23
16
Passing Yards / Game
11
32
Rushing Yards / Game
29
12
EPA
EPA / Play
24
9
EPA / Pass
23
9
EPA / Rush
21
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
10
Interceptions / Game
30
4
Fumbles / Game
4
14
Turnover EPA / Game
3
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
4
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
25
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-2-1
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U