PHIEagles
3-6
30
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
57°F
19 mph
13
DENBroncos
5-4
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
57°F
19 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
10
10
1
3
24
Broncos
0
10
3
0
13
Spread
+0
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
308
Total Plays
64
55
Yards / Play
6.0
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.24
Passing Yards
170
212
Comp/Att
16/23(70%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.15
Rushing Yards
216
96
Rush Attempts
39
18
Yards / Rush
5.5
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.50
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
12
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
46%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.50
-10.17
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-8
-14
Sack EPA
-2.89
-1.19
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
89
--
Penalty EPA
-7.97
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
N/A
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model42.6%
Spread Pick
BroncosN/A
Expected Value
+5.9%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+99
Home nfelo
1,514
Away nfelo
1,457
Home Field
+54.8
Base HFA
+40.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+14.4
Net QB Adjustment
-13.0
Home QB Adjustment
-0.5
Away QB Adjustment
+12.5
Market Regression
+9.4
Final Difference
52.0
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+12.5
T. Bridgewater
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
2
Yards / Game
13
9
Passing Yards / Game
17
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
10
19
EPA / Pass
14
16
EPA / Rush
3
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
12
Interceptions / Game
7
17
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
28
4th Down Efficiency
25
4
RZ Efficiency
8
2
Broncos Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
19
Yards / Game
19
10
Passing Yards / Game
11
3
Rushing Yards / Game
13
9
EPA
EPA / Play
15
18
EPA / Pass
13
23
EPA / Rush
23
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
5
21
Fumbles / Game
13
31
Turnover EPA / Game
25
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
23
4th Down Efficiency
14
9
RZ Efficiency
21
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U