PHIEagles
2-3
31
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
82°F
3 mph
20
TBBuccaneers
0-4
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
82°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
7
10
31
Buccaneers
3
14
0
3
20
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
351
Total Plays
65
66
Yards / Play
6.5
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.01
Passing Yards
287
257
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
26/43(60%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.61
+0.05
Rushing Yards
138
94
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
19
Passing 1st downs
12
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.10
-4.37
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-16
Sack EPA
-1.62
-2.78
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
31
72
Penalty EPA
-2.61
-9.39
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model47.7%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+3.0
Expected Value
+9.7%
Cover Probability
54.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+115
Home nfelo
1,466
Away nfelo
1,485
Home Field
+80.4
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+53.5
Home QB Adjustment
-13.4
Away QB Adjustment
-66.9
Market Regression
-47.8
Final Difference
16.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-66.9
M. Glennon
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-13.4
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
21
Yards / Game
2
17
Passing Yards / Game
4
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
15
EPA
EPA / Play
4
18
EPA / Pass
5
18
EPA / Rush
2
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
6
Interceptions / Game
3
4
Fumbles / Game
12
20
Turnover EPA / Game
23
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
11
23
RZ Efficiency
13
9
Buccaneers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
18
Yards / Game
32
30
Passing Yards / Game
27
31
Rushing Yards / Game
22
13
EPA
EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
26
20
EPA / Rush
24
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
9
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
17
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
24
4th Down Efficiency
24
11
RZ Efficiency
22
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U
Buccaneers
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
1-9
O/U