PHIEagles
4-2
23
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
029
DALCowboys
5-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Eagles
3
10
7
3
0
23
Cowboys
7
3
3
10
6
29
Spread
-5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
291
460
Total Plays
71
76
Yards / Play
4.1
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.04
Passing Yards
194
273
Comp/Att
32/44(73%)
19/40(48%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.01
Rushing Yards
97
187
Rush Attempts
24
34
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
26
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
12
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
40%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.72
-5.42
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-8
-14
Sack EPA
-1.85
-1.49
Penalties
5
11
Penalty Yards
40
84
Penalty EPA
-4.03
-10.17
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+117
Home nfelo
1,537
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+78.0
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
+16.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+24.9
Home QB Adjustment
+17.8
Away QB Adjustment
-7.0
Market Regression
+7.8
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-7.0
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+17.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
8
Yards / Game
20
16
Passing Yards / Game
22
26
Rushing Yards / Game
9
1
EPA
EPA / Play
16
15
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
13
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
24
Interceptions / Game
16
26
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
23
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
17
4th Down Efficiency
18
23
RZ Efficiency
25
18
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
11
Yards / Game
5
12
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
2
15
EPA
EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
4
5
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
19
Interceptions / Game
4
8
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
24
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
19
4th Down Efficiency
1
11
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U