PHIEagles
6-8
20
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
07
DALCowboys
8-6
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
3
3
20
Cowboys
0
0
0
7
7
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
238
Total Plays
60
66
Yards / Play
6.4
3.6
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.20
Passing Yards
281
157
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
24/40(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.18
Rushing Yards
105
81
Rush Attempts
26
23
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
16
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.65
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-12
-25
Sack EPA
-3.24
-5.50
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
47
47
Penalty EPA
-5.01
-8.54
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model48.2%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+2.5
Expected Value
+3.5%
Cover Probability
54.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+63
Home nfelo
1,589
Away nfelo
1,597
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+3.2
Home QB Adjustment
+15.9
Away QB Adjustment
+12.7
Market Regression
-52.5
Final Difference
12.8
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.7
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+15.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
15
Yards / Game
5
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
17
Rushing Yards / Game
5
6
EPA
EPA / Play
8
17
EPA / Pass
15
18
EPA / Rush
3
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
14
Interceptions / Game
31
18
Fumbles / Game
21
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
22
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
16
22
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
9
Yards / Game
10
8
Passing Yards / Game
7
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
11
12
EPA / Pass
6
10
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
7
18
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
24
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
14
RZ Efficiency
19
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U