PHIEagles
13-1
34
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
040
DALCowboys
10-4
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
4
10
7
7
28
Cowboys
7
10
10
13
40
Spread
-4
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
442
419
Total Plays
69
72
Yards / Play
6.4
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.14
Passing Yards
--
304
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
27/35(77%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.42
+0.16
Rushing Yards
87
115
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.49
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
25
Passing 1st downs
19
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
57%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
8
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
60%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-20.25
-9.91
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-43
Sack EPA
--
-8.01
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
10
36
Penalty EPA
-4.10
-1.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+113
Home nfelo
1,608
Away nfelo
1,622
Home Field
+44.4
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
-18.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.4
Time Adj
+7.4
Net QB Adjustment
+82.7
Home QB Adjustment
+11.5
Away QB Adjustment
-71.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
105.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-71.2
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+11.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
6
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
22
EPA
EPA / Play
2
3
EPA / Pass
6
4
EPA / Rush
1
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
29
Interceptions / Game
3
10
Fumbles / Game
17
1
Turnover EPA / Game
14
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
17
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
7
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
16
EPA
EPA / Play
9
5
EPA / Pass
9
1
EPA / Rush
12
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
15
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
3
6
Turnover EPA / Game
20
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
12
4th Down Efficiency
5
19
RZ Efficiency
1
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U