PHIEagles
11-4
0
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
024
DALCowboys
10-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
0
0
0
0
Cowboys
7
10
7
0
24
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
228
474
Total Plays
50
68
Yards / Play
4.6
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.38
+0.09
Passing Yards
191
295
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
24/34(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.30
+0.28
Rushing Yards
37
179
Rush Attempts
10
32
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.69
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
21
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
1
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.42
-4.19
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-32
-16
Sack EPA
-7.31
-4.95
Penalties
6
11
Penalty Yards
58
80
Penalty EPA
-4.77
-7.68
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+40
Home nfelo
1,625
Away nfelo
1,674
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+21.4
Home QB Adjustment
+20.0
Away QB Adjustment
-1.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-1.5
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+20.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
11
10
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
24
4
EPA
EPA / Play
14
8
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
10
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
13
Interceptions / Game
8
27
Fumbles / Game
27
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
8
RZ Efficiency
27
26
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
19
Yards / Game
2
16
Passing Yards / Game
2
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
12
EPA
EPA / Play
10
9
EPA / Pass
7
9
EPA / Rush
9
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
3
4
Fumbles / Game
12
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
4
4th Down Efficiency
31
25
RZ Efficiency
17
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U