PHIEagles
9-6
24
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
022
DALCowboys
8-7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
14
0
7
24
Cowboys
0
10
6
6
22
Spread
+7.5
Total
UNDER
54
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
366
414
Total Plays
66
65
Yards / Play
5.5
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.06
Passing Yards
229
--
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
30/47(64%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
--
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.00
Rushing Yards
137
56
Rush Attempts
34
18
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
12
16
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.51
-13.58
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-34
--
Sack EPA
-10.13
--
Penalties
6
1
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-6.26
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model68.3%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+7.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-87
Home nfelo
1,480
Away nfelo
1,572
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-61.4
Home QB Adjustment
-56.5
Away QB Adjustment
+4.9
Market Regression
-87.0
Final Difference
-133.1
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+4.9
K. Orton
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-56.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
26
Yards / Game
2
32
Passing Yards / Game
4
25
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
25
EPA / Pass
5
24
EPA / Rush
2
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
3
16
Fumbles / Game
12
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
29
4th Down Efficiency
11
19
RZ Efficiency
13
28
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
17
30
Passing Yards / Game
17
31
Rushing Yards / Game
25
13
EPA
EPA / Play
6
21
EPA / Pass
11
20
EPA / Rush
3
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
9
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
11
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U