PHIEagles
11-5
14
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
034
DALCowboys
11-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
7
0
7
14
Cowboys
0
27
7
0
34
Spread
-4
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
340
426
Total Plays
56
72
Yards / Play
6.1
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.14
Passing Yards
284
228
Comp/Att
20/39(51%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.38
Rushing Yards
56
198
Rush Attempts
13
35
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.21
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
--
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
18%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-9.15
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-22
-16
Sack EPA
-8.45
-2.81
Penalties
9
14
Penalty Yards
116
112
Penalty EPA
-11.66
-13.29
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+87
Home nfelo
1,641
Away nfelo
1,658
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+28.3
Home QB Adjustment
+20.5
Away QB Adjustment
-7.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
105.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
D. McNabb
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-7.8
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+20.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
11
10
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
24
4
EPA
EPA / Play
14
8
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
10
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
13
Interceptions / Game
8
27
Fumbles / Game
27
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
3
4th Down Efficiency
28
8
RZ Efficiency
27
26
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
19
Yards / Game
2
16
Passing Yards / Game
2
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
12
EPA
EPA / Play
10
9
EPA / Pass
7
9
EPA / Rush
9
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
10
Interceptions / Game
3
4
Fumbles / Game
12
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
4
4th Down Efficiency
31
25
RZ Efficiency
17
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
2-8
O/U